The Indian economy closed the just-concluded financial year 2023-24 strongly with its growth surpassing market expectations, despite strong external headwinds, the monthly economic review of the Department of Economic Affairs under the Ministry of Finance said. The review report, released on Friday, said early indications suggest a continuation of the economic momentum during the first quarter of 2024-25 (April-June).
"The emerging robust trends in important high-frequency indicators of growth like the GST collections, e-way bills, electronic toll collections, sale of vehicles, purchasing managers' indices and the value and number of digital transactions attest to the growing strength of the economy," read the report. Industrial activity is gaining momentum, it asserted, citing performance in Index of Industrial Production and Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing.
Concurrently, fixed investment is gathering pace on the back of the focus of the government on capital spending and the resultant crowing in of private investment. "The forward-looking surveys of the Reserve Bank also indicate improving consumer confidence and industrial outlook," the finance ministry report said.
Along with growth, it asserted that the other macroeconomic indicators are also improving. Retail inflation clocked 4.83 per cent in April 2024, the lowest in the past 11 months. “On the external front, despite global challenges, India's foreign exchange reserves are comfortable, and the Indian rupee has been one of the most resilient vis-a-vis the US dollar in recent months.”
From the fiscal angle, it noted robust trends in the capital spending of the general government during April-February of 2023-24, combined with the fiscal consolidation plans reflected in the Budget for 2024-25, have laid to rest concerns about debt sustainability. Thus, the major pillars of India's macro-economic strength, including growth, price stability and fiscal management, are directionally positive, it said.
The geopolitical tensions and volatility in global commodity prices, especially of petroleum products, present substantial multi-frontal challenges, it asserted. In context to India, the report that the expectation is that the macro-economic buffers nurtured and strengthened during the post-Covid management of the economy will help the Indian economy navigate these challenges reasonably smoothly.
India's GDP grew at a massive 8.4 per cent during the October-December quarter of the financial year 2023-24, and the country continued to remain the fastest-growing major economy and is poised to maintain its growth trajectory going ahead. India is set to remain the fastest-growing among major economies in 2024, according to latest International Monetary Fund's latest World Economic Outlook. IMF, in its latest outlook, raised India's growth projections for 2024 from 6.5 per cent to 6.8 per cent. (ANI)
