In a world marked by disparities, the prospect of dismantling existing societal and economic frameworks to foster greater equality has been met with resistance, particularly from those enjoying abundance. Societal thinking around wealth is hard-coded with the idea of “we” not present in much of those wealth-debate.
This is where the idea of abundance comes into play. When surplus resources are available, the scarcity principle, a foundational concept in economics, undergoes a transformation. Industries that previously operated under the constraints of resource limitations can now recalibrate their production models. For instance, in agriculture, an abundance of arable land and advanced farming technologies can lead to increased food production, challenging the conventional economic notions tied to scarcity-driven market dynamics.
Abundance, when pragmatically leveraged, aligns with economic principles, providing a pathway to recalibrate societal and economic structures and address systemic inequalities. It is in the presence of ample resources that a remote but crucial chance for equality stand a chance. Abundance can serves as the catalyst for dismantling entrenched disparities, offering the necessary means to address systemic inequities.
Well, humanity might have a chance at this sharing of abundance towards equality later this century itself. Just as advancements in modern science have propelled the global population to around 8 billion, demographers foresee a zenith between 2050 and 2080, where 10 billion individuals might inhabit the planet. However, the subsequent trajectory post 2080, could take a distinctive turn, marked by a projected global population decline.
Dean Spears, an economist renowned for his work at the Population Research Center at the University of Texas, has been instrumental in illuminating the potential consequences of global depopulation. His research and insights contribute significantly to our understanding of demographic shifts and their ramifications for societal structures. Spears emphasises that the anticipated decline in global population, even if the fertility rate stabilises at 1.5, could reshape the world as we know it. His work underscores the need to reimagine economic models, social policies, and resource allocation in anticipation of a future where abundance, rather than scarcity, becomes a defining feature.
With a potentially reduced global population, the imperative to share abundance becomes even more pronounced. The excess resources that would have otherwise strained under burgeoning populations could now be redirected towards addressing systemic inequalities. This pivotal moment later this century holds the promise of a paradigm shift, where the ethos of sharing abundance becomes not just a moral imperative but a practical necessity for fostering global equality.
The world, currently geared towards sustaining a population projected to reach 10 billion, would continue building resources in various sectors such as agriculture, housing, and social infrastructure. Any demographic reversal would prompt a fundamental shift in economic and societal structures. Industries heavily dependent on a large consumer base might face challenges, necessitating adaptation strategies for economic viability.
Conversely, with a more manageable population, there could be opportunities for resource reallocation towards sustainable development, addressing environmental concerns, and fostering a more balanced global economy. Such a depopulation trend will need a strategic reassessment of policies, economic models, and social frameworks to ensure a smooth transition towards a world characterised by abundance and optimised resource utilisation.
Excess of abundance alone will not guarantee equality, as other socio-political factors come into play. True equality often requires intentional policies, social frameworks, and a commitment to redistributive measures. Additionally, addressing systemic issues and promoting equal opportunities are crucial elements in the pursuit of a more egalitarian society. Nations with surplus resources may see shifts in influence and alliances. Strategic resource management will be a crucial tool in shaping diplomatic relations and global stability, influencing how countries collaborate or compete for a balanced global order.
Achieving a state of ‘excess equality’, even with an abundance of resources, is intricate due to various factors ingrained in societal structures. Mere abundance doesn't automatically translate into equitable distribution. To move towards greater equality, deliberate efforts are needed to address systemic disparities, promote inclusive policies, and dismantle barriers that hinder equal access to opportunities. In practice, achieving excess equality may involve implementing progressive taxation systems, investing in education and healthcare, and creating social safety nets. Additionally, fostering a culture that values diversity and inclusivity is crucial.
Achieving true equality amidst abundance necessitates a concerted commitment to intentional policies and societal efforts. Mere surplus resources do not inherently guarantee equitable distribution. It demands a purposeful redirection of resources through carefully crafted policies that prioritise inclusivity and social justice. Progressive taxation systems, robust investments in education and healthcare, and the establishment of comprehensive social safety nets are indispensable components of this endeavour. Furthermore, dismantling barriers that obstruct equal access to opportunities and fostering a cultural ethos valuing diversity are essential. In the face of abundance, the road to genuine equality is paved by deliberate, sustained efforts at both policy and societal levels, acknowledging that addressing systemic disparities requires more than just an excess of resources—it requires a fundamental reshaping of the structures that perpetuate inequality.
The notion of achieving equality will encounter skepticism. A potentially reduced global population creates a scenario where sharing abundance becomes not just a moral imperative but a practical necessity for fostering global equality. In essence, humanity's chance at achieving equality lies in embracing the positive vision of abundance and actively working towards it in the decades ahead. While abundance can lay the foundation, a conscious and sustained commitment to social justice, along with comprehensive reforms, is essential to reverse inequality trends significantly. Even a remote chance of equality will arise only with abundance. That’s the core. And we have a chance at it, in the decades ahead.
Dr. Srinath Sridharan - Policy Researcher & Corporate Advisor.
X : @ssmumbai
&
Shailesh Haribhakti, Independent Director on corporate boards.
X : @ShaileshHaribh2